Table 2 Nominal values of parameters included in the sensitivity analysis
Parameter name | Role | Nominal value | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
mean_dur_I | Mean duration in I state (h) | 5 * 24 | Assumed |
mean_dur_pI | Mean duration in pI state (h) | 3 * 24 | Assumed |
pathogen_transmission_rate | Transmission rate by infectious individuals (h−1) | 0.01 | Assumed |
p_death | Probability that an animal with severe clinical signs eventually dies from BRD | 0.05 | Best guess |
dur_MC_fact | Factor modifying the delay between infection and onset of severe clinical signs | 1 | |
p_severe_clinical | Probability that an animal with mild clinical signs eventually develops severe clinical signs | 0.5 | Best guess |
dur_before_death | Duration of severe clinical signs before death for animals dying from BRD (h) | 10 * 24 | Assumed |
Se_MC | Sensitivity of the detection based on mild clinical signs | 0.3 | [15] |
Se_SC | Sensitivity of the detection based on severe clinical signs | 0.6 | [16] |
Sp | Specificity of the detection based on clinical signs | 0.9 | [15] |
p_recovery | Probability that one antimicrobial dose will stop the infection | 0.8 | Best guess |