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Table 4 Life-cycle and health-state parameters of the model.

From: Learning and strategic imitation in modelling farmers’ dynamic decisions on bovine viral diarrhoea vaccination

Parameter

Description

Value

Sources

\({\phi }_{Y}^{-1}\)

Duration of the period when calves are with their mother, determines the duration in YJ and YFbirth

180

Expert knowledge

\({\phi }_{G}^{-1}\)

Duration of gestation

274

Expert knowledge

\({\tau }^{*}\)

Age before which natural mortality is applied

21

Expert knowledgea

\({p}_{{A}_{e}}\)

Probability to abort when infected in early gestation (0 to 42 days)

0.8

[7, 33, 40]

\({p}_{{A}_{m}}\)

Probability to abort when infected in mid-gestation (43 to 150 days)

0.25

[7, 34]

\({\phi }_{M}^{-1}\)

Duration of the protection given by maternal immunity

150

[35]

\({\phi }_{T}^{-1}\)

Duration of transient infection

7

[33]

\({p}_{P}\)

Probability of vertical transmission in mid-gestation (43 to 150 days)

0.937

[, 7, 34, 35]

\({p}_{{E}_{P}}\)

Probability of disease-related mortality, neglecting mortality at birth

0.00189

[8]

\({\beta }_{{T}_{w}}\)

Transmission rate per transient animal within its group

0.03

[36, 37]b

\({\beta }_{{P}_{w}}\)

Transmission rate per persistent animal within its group

0.5

[37, 38]

\({\beta }_{{P}_{b}}\)

Transmission rate per persistent animal to other groups

0.01

[39]b

\({\beta }_{{P}_{n}}\)

Transmission rate per persistent animal in geographically neighbouring herds that can access to pasture

0.001

[31]b

Radius

Maximum threshold distance (in km) used for defining pathogen transmission through pasture

2

Expert knowledge

  1. All durations are in days.
  2. aAccording to observed data (FCID) most natural mortality occurs in the first weeks of age.
  3. bNo experiments nor field studies have yet provided an estimation of these parameters. Therefore, we choose values similar to those used in previous modelling studies.