Figure 3

The posterior distribution of the estimated parameters for each herd (from the second to the last row). Left: the initial proportion of BVDV seropositive animals (\(\mu\)), Middle: the proportion of introduced PI animals (\(\rho\)), Right: the day of PI animals being introduced (\(\tau\)). The distributions of the first row illustrate the prior distribution of each parameter. Green and red shaded areas indicate the first breeding and calving period, respectively. Day FS indicates the day of first sampling.