Parameters | Definition | Reference value | Univariate simulations: [min–max] | Multivariate simulations: tested values | Source | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
#1 | #2 | #3 | #4 | ||||||
u | Susceptibility period duration | 52 weeks | [1–52] | – | |||||
h | Decay in susceptibility with age (coefficient) | 0.1 | [0.1–1] | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | [54] | |
α | Required infectious dose to be infected | 106 bacteria | [106–1012] | 1.5 × 106 | 2 × 106 | 2.5 × 106 | 3 × 106 | [55] | |
ν L | Duration of latent state | 52 weeks | [52–208] | – | |||||
ν L + ν Is | Duration before high shedding and clinically affected state | 156 weeks | [156–468] | 234 | 312 | 390 | 468 | ||
v T with ν T + ν L = constant | Duration of transiently infectious state with constant duration before moderate shedding state | νT = 25 weeks (νT + νL = 77) | [1–25] | – | |||||
ν Is with ν L + ν Is = constant | Duration of moderate shedding state with constant duration before high shedding or clinically affected state | νIs = 104 weeks (νL + νIs = 156 weeks ) | [60–104] | 95 | 86 | 77 | 68 | ||
φMilk X | Factor of decrease of Map shed in milk by animals in health state X | ||||||||
φMilk Is | Moderate shedding state (Is) | 100% | [0–100] |
| 50% | 10% | 5% | 0% | [56] |
φMilk Ic | High shedding and clinically affected state (Ic) | 100% | [0–100] | [57] | |||||
φFeces X | Factor of decrease of Map shed in faeces by animals in health state X | ||||||||
φFeces T | Transient state (T) | 100% | [0–100] |
| 50% | 10% | 5% | 0% | [9] |
φFeces Is | Moderate shedding state (Is) | 100% | [0–100] | [58] | |||||
φFeces Ic | High shedding or clinically affected state (Ic) | 100% | [0–100] | 66% | 50% | 40% | 33% | ||
φP X | Factor of decrease of probability of in utero transmission for cows in health state X | ||||||||
φP LIs | Latent and moderate shedding states (LIs) | 100% | [0–100] |
| 50% | 10% | 5% | 0% | |
φP Ic | High shedding or clinically affected state (Ic) | 100% | [0–100] |