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Table 1 Summary of the posterior distributions of the parameters

From: Transmission tree of the highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) epidemic in Israel, 2015

Parameter Interpretation Median (95% credible interval)
α Shape parameter of the spatial kernel 1.12 (0.11, 3.46)
π Probability of mutation 1.06e−3 (0.55e−3, 1.82e−3)
Re-farm 1 Effective reproduction number of farm 1 2.00 (2.00, 2.00)
Re-farm 2 Effective reproduction number of farm 2 Negligible (<1e−02)
Re-farm 3 Effective reproduction number of farm 3 2.92 (1.27, 3.48)
Re-farm 4 Effective reproduction number of farm 4 Negligible (<1e−02)
Re-farm 5 Effective reproduction number of farm 5 Negligible (<1e−02)
Re-farm 6 Effective reproduction number of farm 6 2.08 (1.52, 3.73)
Re-farm 7 Effective reproduction number of farm 7 Negligible (<1e−02)