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Table 2 Estimation of transmission rates by transiently (βT and persistently infected (βP) animals, and disease-related mortality rate (μT) using Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC)

From: A novel epidemiological model to better understand and predict the observed seasonal spread of Pestivirus in Pyrenean chamois populations

  Parameters
Year of virus introduction β T β P μ T
1991 0.009 [0.002; 0.028] 0.32 [0.20; 0.46] 0.64 [0.60; 0.70]
1992 0.032 [0.003; 0.039] 0.32 [0.20; 0.43] 0.66 [0.60; 0.70]
1993 0.010 [0.002; 0.035] 0.37 [0.24; 0.51] 0.69 [0.67; 0.75]
1991 – homogeneous contact 0.009 [0.002; 0.028] 0.35 [0.23; 0.50] 0.64 [0.60; 0.70]
  1. Three years of virus introduction were tested. For the most probable year of introduction, estimation was also carried out with the model assuming homogeneous contacts all year long. Median and 95% confidence intervals (in brackets) are provided. Units are the same as in Table 1.