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Figure 5 | Veterinary Research

Figure 5

From: A novel epidemiological model to better understand and predict the observed seasonal spread of Pestivirus in Pyrenean chamois populations

Figure 5

Parameter estimation by ABC. A Distributions of chi-square distances between simulated and observed data, using the 1% rejection threshold, depending on the year of virus introduction (red: 1990, grey: 1991, green: 1992, blue: 1993, purple: 1991 but assuming homogeneous contacts all year long). B Distributions of probability density for different rejection thresholds for a virus introduction in 1991, assuming heterogeneous contacts, and when PI are considered in the model: βT the coefficient of horizontal transmission from transiently infected animals, βP the coefficient of horizontal transmission from persistently infected animals, and μT the disease-related mortality of transiently infected animals.

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