| LSD seasonal models | LSD annual model | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | Winter | Spring | Summer | Autumn | AUC = 0.75 | |||||
 | (AUC = 0.83) | (AUC = 0.86) | (AUC = 0.76) | (AUC = 0.71) | ||||||
 | β | SE | β | SE | β | SE | β | SE | β | SE |
Intercept | 2.72*** | 1.608 | 1.16* | 0.481 | 1.75 | 1.06 | 1.11 | 1.291 | 2.31* | 1.095 |
DW | 2.46* | 0.001 | 2.11* | 0.001 | 1.26Â ns | 0.001 | 1.09Â ns | 0.001 | 1.46Â ns | 0.001 |
DE | −1.46 ns | 0.003 | −1.26 ns | 0.001 | −0.79 ns | 0.001 | 0.80 ns | 0.001 | −1.59 ns | 0.001 |
LT1 | −2.90** | 0.018 | −2.36* | 0.009 | −3.12** | 0.010 | −2.19* | 0.011 | −3.75*** | 0.009 |
LT2 | −3.37*** | 0.016 | −2.69** | 0.007 | −0.87 ns | 0.012 | −1.22 ns | 0.012 | −3.22** | 0.009 |
LT3 | −3.13** | 0.017 | −3.17** | 0.008 | −1.18 ns | 0.010 | −0.88 ns | 0.010 | −2.25* | 0.010 |
LT4 | −1.36 ns | 0.015 | −4.19*** | 0.007 | −1.46 ns | 0.011 | −2.12* | 0.012 | −2.55* | 0.009 |
LT6 | −2.95** | 0.022 | −3.57*** | 0.008 | −1.41 ns | 0.012 | −1.34 ns | 0.011 | −3.34*** | 0.010 |