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Table 1 Maximum Likelihood (ML)-estimates for the transmission rate parameters during the BTV-8 epidemic in 2007

From: Confirmation of spatial patterns and temperature effects in Bluetongue virus serotype-8 transmission in NW-Europe from the 2007 reported case data

Dataset

λ0(10−6 day−1)

r0(km)

α

Germany 2006

9.2 (6.6-13.4)

18.0 (13.5-23.0)

3.2 (2.9-3.7)

Europe 2007 without 2006 infected area

3.2 (2.9-3.8)

21.8 (19.5-24.3)

2.6 (2.57-2.62)

Europe 2007 without 2006 infected farm areas

8.3 (7.2-9.5)

22.5 (20.2-24.9)

2.9 (2.8-3.0)

  1. Parameter values estimated from the 2007 dataset in which the 2006 epidemic area is removed by taking out an area with a radius of 200 km, and from the 2007 dataset in which the 2006 epidemic area is removed by taking out areas with a radius of 80 km around each case of the 2006 epidemic; the parameter values estimated for the 2006 German kernel are added for comparison.
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Veterinary Research

ISSN: 1297-9716