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Table 1 The predictor variables used by the Random Forests algorithm to create a global prediction map for avian influenza virus in wild birds.

From: A global model of avian influenza prediction in wild birds: the importance of northern regions

Predictor variable

Details

VIS

Project source

Annual precipitation (mm)

In mm; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

100.0

WorldClim[29]

Mean temperature, June (°C)

In °C; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

85.2

WorldClim

Mean temperature, April (°C)

In °C; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

76.1

WorldClim

Precipitation of driest quarter (mm)

In mm; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

68.4

WorldClim

Mean temperature, November (°C)

In °C; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

64.9

WorldClim

Precipitation seasonality

In mm; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

63.1

WorldClim

Mean temperature of driest quarter (°C)

In °C; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

62.5

WorldClim

Annual mean temperature (°C)

In °C; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

54.8

WorldClim

Mean temperature, February (°C)

In °C; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

49.7

WorldClim

Mean temperature, January (°C)

In °C; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

45.7

WorldClim

Temperature seasonality

Standard deviation Ă— 100

45.0

WorldClim

Precipitation of wettest quarter (mm)

In mm; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

42.9

WorldClim

Mean temperature, December (°C)

In °C; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

38.6

WorldClim

Maximum temperature of warmest month (°C)

In °C; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

38.0

WorldClim

Precipitation of driest month (mm)

In mm; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

37.5

WorldClim

Mean temperature, October (°C)

In °C; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

36.1

WorldClim

Mean temperature, September (°C)

In °C; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

32.6

WorldClim

Precipitation of coldest quarter (mm)

In mm; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

32.3

WorldClim

Population density (persons/km2)

Population density for 2010, 2.5’ resolution, persons/km2

29.3

Gridded Popn of the World, v.3[30]

Mean temperature of coldest quarter (°C)

In °C; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

28.4

WorldClim

Mean temperature, July (°C)

In °C; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

28.3

WorldClim

Isothermality (°C)

(Mean Diurnal Range/Temperature Annual Range); In °C; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

26.6

WorldClim

Mean temperature of wettest quarter (°C)

In °C; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

25.2

WorldClim

Mean diurnal range (°C)

In °C, (mean of monthly temperature(max – min))

24.3

WorldClim

Mean temperature, August (°C)

In °C; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

22.7

WorldClim

Mean temperature, March (°C)

In °C; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

21.0

WorldClim

Temperature annual range (°C)

In °C; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

18.4

WorldClim

Elevation (m)

In m; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

18.3

WorldClim

Predicted pig density (per km2)

Animal density/km2; 3 min of arc

18.0

Gridded livestock of the world[31]

Mean temperature of warmest quarter (°C)

In °C; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

17.0

WorldClim

Precipitation of wettest month (mm)

In mm; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

15.0

WorldClim

Distance from coast (m)

Calculated from coastline

12.6

Esri

Precipitation of warmest quarter (mm)

In mm; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

12.1

WorldClim

Minimum temperature of coldest month (°C)

In °C; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

11.2

WorldClim

Human footprint index

Percentage of relative human influence (0–100)

10.4

Last of the Wild[32]

Distance from rivers, lakes, or wetlands

Calculated from combined large and small lake polygons, nd lakes and wetlands grid

9.7

Global Lakes and Wetlands Database[33]

Slope

Calculated from elevation

9.0

Esri

Human influence index

Summative index of human disturbance (0–72)

8.8

Last of the Wild[32]

Predicted poultry density (per km2)

Animal density/km2; 3 min of arc

7.9

Gridded livestock of the world[31]

Aspect

positive degrees from 0 to 359.9, measured clockwise from north; calculated from slope

6.7

Esri

Mean temperature, May (°C)

In °C; 30 arc-seconds, 1 km spatial resolution

5.4

WorldClim

  1. Variables are listed in order of their Variable Importance Score (VIS) or relative contribution to model accuracy as calculated by Random Forests.