Table 2 Description of model variations and sensitivity analyses
Model | Model code | Species | Herd size | Young animals | Time introduction infected animal | Time kidding introduced infected animal | Prob. to abort | Prob. of infection |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variations of the model | ||||||||
m1 | 770 goats | Goats | 770 | Yes | 1 | 1 | 0.038 | 1–exp(−Ê(t)/N) |
m2 | 50 goats | Goats | 50 | Yes | 1 | 1 | 0.038 | 1–exp(−Ê(t)/N) |
m3 | 770 cows | Cows | 770 | Yes | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1–exp(−Ê(t)/N) |
m4 | 50 cows | Cows | 50 | Yes | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1–exp(−Ê(t)/N) |
Scenarios of sensitivity analysis | ||||||||
s1 | TimeIntro | Goats | 770 | Yes | 27 | 27 | 0.038 | 1–exp(−Ê(t)/N) |
s2 | TimeBirth | Goats | 770 | Yes | 1 | 27 | 0.038 | 1–exp(−Ê(t)/N) |
s3 | ProbAbUp | Goats | 770 | Yes | 1 | 1 | 0.38 | 1–exp(−Ê(t)/N) |
s4 | ProbAbLow | Goats | 770 | Yes | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1–exp(−Ê(t)/N) |
s5 | ProbInfUp | Goats | 770 | Yes | 1 | 1 | 0.038 | 1–exp(−10* Ê ( t )/ N ) |
s6 | NoYoung | Goats | 770 | No | 1 | 1 | 0.038 | 1 – exp(−Ê(t)/N) |