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Table 5 The influence of changing parameters relative to baseline (multiplication factor, 1 = best estimate) on Classical Swine Fever outbreak size (000 km2) in wild pigs in north-west Australia

From: Controlling disease outbreaks in wildlife using limited culling: modelling classical swine fever incursions in wild pigs in Australia

  Parameter
Multiplication factor Probability of Transmission Mortality probability Density Movers 2 Linear distance Home range Reduction in movement when sick
0.25 1.522 12.097 0 6.578 0.023 9.793 7.236
0.5 3.362 12.393 0.004 8.393 0.196 3.176 8.406
0.75 5.170 8.470 1.360 10.502 0.126 8.667 7.324
1 (baseline) 5.979 5.979 5.979 5.979 5.979 5.979 5.979
1.5 8.4991 5.960 20.46 10.242 25.180 16.832 9.645
2 NA 2.009 28.513 8.509 31.352 8.824 11.088
  1. 1Multiplication factor = 1.33 to ensure probability remained less than 1 (probability = 0.99).
  2. 2Proportion of herds able to disperse away from their starting home range.