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Table 2 Specific input parameters (Germany 2006-2007)

From: Quantitative assessment of the probability of bluetongue virus overwintering by horizontal transmission: application to Germany

Description of model input parameter Value Source
Mean daily temperatures (°C) Various (see Figure 3) 1
Monthly proportion of Culicoides captures during study period (November to April) Nov.: 0.977
Dec.: 0.017
Jan.: 0.002
Feb.: 0.001
Mar.: 0.001
Apr.: 0.001
[5]
Monthly proportion of Culicoides captured outdoors (versus indoors) Nov.: 0.50
Dec.: 0.40
Jan.: 0.27
Feb.: 0.12
Mar.: 0.32
Apr.: 0.17
[5]
Cattle population in North Rhine-Westphalia (H c ) 1 346 488 2
Sheep population in North Rhine-Westphalia (H s ) 199 762 2
Monthly cumulative incidence of cattle farms (CI ci ) Aug. 2006: 1.8 × 10-3
Sep. 2006: 3.0 × 10-3
Oct. 2006: 1.4 × 10-2
Nov. 2006: 8.5 × 10-3
Dec. 2006: 2.0 × 10-3
Jan. 2007: 4.2 × 10-3
Feb.2007: 2.7 × 10-3
Mar. 2007: 1.0 × 10-3
Apr. 2007: 1.6 × 10-3
2, 3
Monthly cumulative incidence of sheep farms (CI si ) Sep. 2006: 1.1 × 10-2
Oct. 2006: 4.6 × 10-2
Nov. 2006: 2.5 × 10-2
Dec. 2006: 4.0 × 10-3
Jan. 2007: 0
Feb. 2007: 0
Mar. 2007: 0
Apr. 2007: 0
2, 3
Proportion of immune cattle 0.01 Model estimation
Proportion of immune sheep 0.04 Model estimation
  1. 1Anonymous: Bundesministerium für Verkher, Bau und Stadtentwicklung. Klimadaten Deutschland. http://www.dwd.de/bvbw/appmanager/bvbw/dwdwwwDesktop? [consulted 6 August 2009]
  2. 2Anonymous: Statische Ämter des Bundes und der Länder. https://www.regionalstatistik.de/ [consulted 6 August 2009]
  3. 3Anonymous: EU. Food Safety Regulatory Committees: Standing Committee on the Food Chain and Animal Health (SCFCAH). http://ec.europa.eu/food/committees/regulatory/scfcah/animal_health/presentations_en.htm#03042009 [consulted 8 August 2009]
  4. The proportion of immune cattle and sheep were obtained based on the estimated number of cattle and sheep infected in 2006 (natural immunity) as vaccination did not start until 2008