Parameter | Definition | Median (95%CI) |
---|---|---|
\(\phi\) | Relative susceptibility of galliform farms | 0.20 (0.15, 0.27) |
\(\psi\) | Relative infectivity of galliform farms | 0.39 (0.10, 0.85) |
\({\alpha }_{SZ}\) | Effect of surveillance zones on transmission rate | 0.58 (0.42, 0.80) |
\({\beta }_{0}\) | Daily transmission rate in all departments but Landes | 0.23 (0.16, 0.31) |
\({\beta }_{1}\) | Daily transmission rate in Landes before 22 Jan 2017 | 0.31 (0.20, 0.47) |
\({\beta }_{2}\) | Daily transmission rate in Landes between 22 Jan 2017 and 11 Feb 2017 | 0.53 (0.37, 0.72) |
\({\beta }_{3}\) | Daily transmission rate in Landes after 11 Feb 2017 | 0.28 (0.18, 0.40) |
\({\beta }_{ext}\) | External transmission rate (10–4) | 0.86 (0.62, 1.15) |