Function shape | Latent period (days) | Parameters (IC 95%) | Mean generation time Tg(IC) | Goodness of fit testson observed data | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
K | θ | R 0 | χ2P-value | Coefficient of determination (R2) | |||
Gamma | 0 | 10.0 (−3.4, 23.4) | 1.5 (1.1, 1.8) | 2.4 (1.8, 3.0) | 14.7 (ND, 32.3) | 0.870 | 0.950 |
1 | 8.7 (−0.9, 18.4) | 1.6 (1.2, 1.9) | 2.4 (1.8, 3.0) | 14.7 (ND, 33.1) | 0.878 | 0.953 | |
2 | 7.6 (0.8, 14.3) | 1.7 (1.3, 2.1) | 2.4 (1.8, 3.1) | 14.7 (3.0, 30.7) | 0.888 | 0.956 | |
Lognormal | 0 | 2.63 (2.63, 2.64) | 0.31 (0.31, 0.32) | 2.5 (1.8, 3.2) | 14.6 (14.5, 14.7) | 0.975 | 0.968 |
1 | 2.5 (2.5, 2.6) | 0.34 (0.33, 0.34) | 2.6 (1.8, 3.3) | 14.5 (14.4, 14.6) | 0.979 | 0.971 | |
2 | 2.46 (2.45, 2.47) | 0.36 (0.36, 0.37) | 2.6 (1.8, 3.4) | 14.5 (14.4, 14.6) | 0.983 | 0.974 | |
Weibull | 0 | 16.4 (14.2, 18.6) | 2.9 (2.5, 3.3) | 2.2 (1.8, 2.6) | 14.6 (12.6, 16.7) | 0.629 | 0.874 |
1 | 15.4 (13.3, 17.5) | 2.8 (2.4, 3.1) | 2.2 (1.8, 2.6) | 14.7 (12.8, 16.7) | 0.637 | 0.880 | |
2 | 14.4 (12.4, 16.4) | 2.6 (2.4, 2.9) | 2.2 (1.8, 2.6) | 14.8 (13.0, 16.6) | 0.647 | 0.887 |